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Many estuaries experience eutrophication, deoxygenation and warming, with potential impacts on greenhouse gas emissions. However, the response of N₂O production to these changes is poorly constrained. Here we applied nitrogen isotope tracer incubations to measure N₂O production under experimentally manipulated changes in oxygen and temperature in the Chesapeake Bay—the largest estuary in the United States. N₂O production more than doubled from nitrification and increased exponentially from denitrification when O₂was decreased from >20 to <5 micromolar. Raising temperature from 15° to 35°C increased N₂O production 2- to 10-fold. Developing a biogeochemical model by incorporating these responses, N₂O emissions from the Chesapeake Bay were estimated to decrease from 157 to 140 Mg N year⁻¹from 1986 to 2016 and further to 124 Mg N year⁻¹in 2050. Although deoxygenation and warming stimulate N₂O production, the modeled decrease in N₂O emissions, attributed to decreased nutrient inputs, indicates the importance of nutrient management in curbing greenhouse gas emissions, potentially mitigating climate change. 

Abstract Nitrogen (N) bioavailability affects phytoplankton growth and primary production in the aquatic environment. N bioavailability is partly determined by biological N cycling processes that either transform N species or remove fixed N. Reliable estimates of their kinetic parameters can help understand the distribution of N cycling processes. However, available estimates of kinetic parameters are often derived from microbial isolates and may not be representative of the natural environment. Observations are particularly lacking in estuarine and coastal waters. We conducted isotope tracer addition incubations to evaluate substrate affinities of nitrification, denitrification and anammox in the Chesapeake Bay water column. The half‐saturation constant for ammonia oxidation ranged from 0.38 to 0.75 μM ammonium, substantially higher than observed in the open oceans. Half‐saturation constants for denitrification—0.92–1.86 μM nitrite or 1.15 μM nitrate—were within the lower end or less than those reported for other aquatic environments and for denitrifier isolates. Interestingly, water column denitrification potential was comparable to that of sedimentary denitrification, highlighting the contribution of the water column to N removal during anoxia. Mostly undetectable anammox rates prevented us from deriving the half‐saturation constants, suggesting a low affinity of anammox. Using these substrate kinetics, we were able to predict in situ N cycling rates and explain the vertical distribution of N nutrient concentrations. Our newly derived substrate kinetics parameters can be useful for improving model representation of N nutrient dynamics in estuarine and coastal waters, which is critical for assessing the ecosystem productivity and function. 

ABSTRACT Nitrification (microbial oxidation of ammonia to nitrite and nitrate) controls nitrogen speciation and is the main source of nitrous oxide (N₂O) in the ocean. It was recently shown that the most abundant marine ammonia oxidizers, the ammonia‐oxidising archaea (AOA), are also capable of oxidising urea, providing a previously ignored source of nitrite. Here, we show that the relative magnitude of urea and ammonia oxidation rates, and the relative rates of N₂O production from the two substrates, is correlated with the ratio of the substrate concentrations. By examining all reported measurements of urea and ammonium concentrations and the paired urea and ammonia oxidation rates, we show that this relationship likely holds across the global ocean. Examination of newly acquired and previously published metagenomic data shows that the fraction of AOA with the genetic capability for urea oxidation increases with the urea:ammonium ratio, rather than depending on the urea or ammonium concentration alone. These results corroborate the correlation between substrate ratios and oxidation rate ratios, and extend it to N₂O production. This may help explain the distribution of nitrification rates and N₂O production in the ocean.